Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-3
FK Vardar vs Pyunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 0
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 4
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
GAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 3
VAR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 0
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 3
PYU
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PYU
0 - 0
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GAN
4 - 3
PYU
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |