FK Vardar vs Metalurg Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
SHK
0 - 1
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
TET
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SIL
1 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
OHR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Metalurg Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MET
6 - 0
OHR
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |