FK Vardar vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
6º
12º
6º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
SIL
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 3
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
15%
21%
63%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
GOS
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VOK
1 - 1
FCS
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 3
SHK
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 6
FCS
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
FCS
24%
27%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |