FK Vardar vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
6º
12º
6º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
SHK
0 - 2
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 1
BES
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 1
VAR
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
VOK
0 - 3
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 3
CRV
9%
15%
77%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
SHK
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIL
0 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
SHK
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
GOS
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RAB
0 - 1
FCS
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |