FK Vardar vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
RBK
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SHK
2 - 0
VAR
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AKP
0 - 2
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
ZEN
2 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AKP
0 - 1
SIL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
AKP
4 - 1
TET
86%
10%
3%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AKP
0 - 2
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AKP
1 - 1
RAB
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
PEL
3 - 4
AKP
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |