Vardar Negotino vs Ilinden Velmej analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
FKS
3 - 0
VAN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VAN
0 - 0
CEM
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MAD
2 - 0
VAN
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VAN
0 - 1
TET
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
KAR
1 - 0
VAN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilinden Velmej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ILI
1 - 0
JUG
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 0
ILI
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ILI
3 - 3
HTR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
RAB
4 - 0
ILI
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ILI
0 - 1
MIL
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |