Vardar Negotino vs Bashkimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
13º
66
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
OHR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KGE
3 - 2
VAN
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
AKP
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 1
VAN
48%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 2
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OHR
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAK
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 1
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | +1 |