Vardar Negotino vs Detonit Plachkovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
15º
7º
60
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PEL
2 - 0
VAN
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 0
VAN
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
TIK
4 - 0
VAN
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
SAS
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 2
VAN
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Detonit Plachkovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 1
DEP
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAS
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
DEP
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 1
DEP
61%
20%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 1
DEP
61%
19%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |