Vard vs Vindbjart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VID
0 - 0
VAR
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
ODD
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 3
VAR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 2
NES
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 4
VAR
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vindbjart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VIN
3 - 1
JER
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EGE
2 - 2
VIN
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
VIN
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIN
4 - 1
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |