Vard vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
BRY
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
EGE
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
FKA
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 2
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 4
LYN
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
HAU
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 2
STR
12%
17%
70%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ODD
1 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
HEM
0 - 1
STR
4%
9%
87%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
SDF
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |