Vard vs Stavanger IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
MAN
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 0
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIK
74%
15%
10%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
FAN
2 - 0
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 2
OTF
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stavanger IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
3 - 1
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
STA
5 - 0
FKA
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
FYL
1 - 0
STA
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
STA
3 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
IKS
2 - 1
STA
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |