Vard vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 2
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
5 - 4
HOD
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
3 - 2
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
STR
1 - 0
VAR
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
POR
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
S08
3 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FRI
1 - 3
S08
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
S08
1 - 3
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ORN
1 - 4
S08
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
S08
2 - 1
ODD
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |