Vard vs Manglerud Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 0
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIK
74%
15%
10%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
FAN
2 - 0
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 2
OTF
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
AFK
2 - 1
VAR
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Manglerud Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
FKA
0 - 1
MAN
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
IKS
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
FYL
65%
19%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |