Vard vs Hødd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
11º
8º
58
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
LYS
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 4
ORN
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 3
VAR
32%
24%
43%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 1
ORN
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 6
HOD
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 2
LYS
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 3
HOD
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 0
ETO
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |