Vard vs HamKam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
BOG
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ULL
2 - 0
VAR
51%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 0
FYL
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 1
FFK
22%
23%
54%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAM
3 - 1
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SDF
3 - 2
HAM
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
ELV
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
HAM
3 - 1
KFU
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MJO
0 - 2
HAM
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |