Vard vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
EGE
2 - 0
VAR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
SKE
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SKE
5 - 0
VAR
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
ROS
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
ODD
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
LEV
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KJE
1 - 1
FRA
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
OFK
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 4
FRA
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 1
SSK
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |