Vard vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
KON
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
SDF
3 - 1
VAR
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 3
HAM
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
BOG
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
ELV
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SDF
2 - 1
FOL
75%
16%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAM
3 - 1
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 3
STB
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 0
FOL
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |