Vard vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FFC
1 - 2
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SSK
2 - 3
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
BRY
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 3
ASK
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EGE
1 - 0
VAR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FKA
3 - 3
BRY
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ASK
4 - 1
FKA
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FKA
3 - 0
FFC
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FKA
1 - 1
EGE
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SSK
0 - 1
FKA
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |