Vard vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FYL
2 - 2
VAR
25%
23%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
VAR
6 - 4
SAN
71%
16%
12%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
STA
2 - 0
VAR
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
VAR
5 - 2
ALG
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FYL
4 - 1
VAR
25%
23%
51%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FKA
1 - 1
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
FKA
1 - 0
IKS
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
FYL
1 - 1
FKA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ODD
4 - 1
FKA
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
FKA
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |