Vard vs Fana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
14%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
STR
0 - 5
VAR
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 3
VID
32%
23%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EGE
1 - 1
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 3
VAL
36%
23%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KFU
1 - 0
VAR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FAN
7 - 1
FFK
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
5 - 0
SOF
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIK
1 - 2
FAN
74%
15%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
3 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
FAN
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |