Vard vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
VID
32%
23%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SOF
1 - 2
VAR
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAN
70%
16%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
STR
0 - 5
VAR
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 3
VID
32%
23%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
4 - 3
FFK
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
FYL
2 - 1
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
LYS
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 0
VAR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 4
BRA
15%
17%
68%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |