Vard vs Ålgård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
VAR
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
1 - 1
VAR
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 2
ASA
60%
20%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
VID
65%
18%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
ODD
0 - 2
VAR
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 2
JER
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
EGE
0 - 1
ALG
62%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
RAN
0 - 2
ALG
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
5 - 0
ALG
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |