Vard vs Ålgård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AIK
3 - 3
VAR
25%
23%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 4
NOT
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
3 - 1
VAR
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
82%
12%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
1 - 2
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
6 - 1
VID
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 3
ALG
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 0
VIN
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
3 - 3
ALG
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
ALG
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |