Vard vs Ålgård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
VAR
3 - 2
FLO
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VAR
5 - 0
LIL
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
VIK
0 - 7
VAR
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 1
OTF
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALG
3 - 2
STO
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 1
ALG
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 2
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
VIN
6 - 0
ALG
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 3
RAN
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |