Varbergs BoIS U21 vs Trelleborgs U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
4º
1º
2
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
8 | 18 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 18 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 18 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 12 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 10 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 5 |
6º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 2
VAB
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
HEL
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 3
VAB
22%
20%
59%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 0
HAL
66%
17%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
VAB
12%
16%
72%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Trelleborgs U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
MAL
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 1
TRE
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
HEL
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
VAB
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 3
TRE
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |