Varbergs BoIS U21 vs Halmstad U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
4º
1º
5
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
8 | 18 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 18 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 18 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 12 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 10 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 5 |
6º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
20.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
VAB
12%
16%
72%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
VAB
1 - 1
MAL
57%
19%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ELF
1 - 3
VAB
45%
21%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VAB
7 - 0
DJU
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
VAB
2 - 5
JON
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Halmstad U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 1
HAL
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 4
HAL
36%
22%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 3
TRE
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
OST
3 - 1
HAL
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 0
HAL
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |