Varbergs BoIS vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
16º
41
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 6
MFF
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
KAL
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HIF
2 - 0
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
SIR
35%
27%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
DEG
0 - 2
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
HIF
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
GÖT
1 - 1
NOR
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MFF
3 - 0
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
IFK
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |