Vaqueros Ameca vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaqueros Ameca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
VAQ
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
VAQ
2 - 3
ALT
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
VAQ
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
TEP
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
CIM
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |