Vannes vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
14º
8º
49
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 2
VAN
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
LAN
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CES
1 - 0
VAN
29%
22%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STA
0 - 0
VAN
60%
20%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 2
GUI
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 1
USF
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 3
LOR
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
ERG
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAI
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
70%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |