Vannes vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
14º
8º
31
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ESS
0 - 4
VAN
10%
14%
75%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAN
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
SAI
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 3
VAN
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 2
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 3
USF
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ERG
77%
13%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERG
1 - 3
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
ERG
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |