Vannes vs OC Cesson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
14º
8º
34
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 0
VAN
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
FLE
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
USF
3 - 2
VAN
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 1
PLA
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CES
1 - 1
USF
42%
22%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
CES
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CES
3 - 0
ERG
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 0
CES
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CES
1 - 0
SAI
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |