VMA vs Karlskrona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
14º
13º
43
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VMA
0 - 3
SIM
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
KRI
2 - 0
VMA
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 0
VMA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
VMA
1 - 2
HAS
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 1
VMA
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
ROS
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 4
KAR
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
KAR
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 3
SIM
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KRI
1 - 1
KAR
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |