VMA vs Karlskrona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BKK
2 - 0
VMA
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KAR
1 - 0
MOT
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 1
KAR
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
KAR
2 - 3
LJU
66%
18%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KAR
2 - 7
NIK
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
IFK
1 - 1
KAR
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |