Vänersborgs FK vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
9º
9º
45
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KUM
3 - 2
VFK
38%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
VFK
3 - 1
LID
31%
22%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VFK
2 - 2
MOT
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STE
1 - 3
VFK
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 2
SKO
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
MOT
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STE
4 - 1
HER
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
SKO
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
HER
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
AIF
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |