Vänersborgs FK vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
55.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
14º
10º
44
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 0
VFK
36%
22%
43%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VFK
1 - 1
LID
16%
19%
66%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 3
VFK
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VFK
2 - 4
29%
22%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
4 - 0
VFK
47%
21%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
YIK
0 - 3
HER
37%
22%
42%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
FBK
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HER
5 - 2
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 0
HER
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
GAU
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |