Vänersborgs IF vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
10º
8º
24
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
VAN
21%
20%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 2
VAN
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
FBK
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
VAN
9%
14%
78%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
3 - 2
LID
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
AIF
60%
20%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KON
1 - 3
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
MOT
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |