Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
14º
11º
45
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 1
VAN
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
VFK
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
VAN
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 1
VAN
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
VAN
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HER
5 - 0
SKS
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
HEL
8%
16%
76%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
GAU
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KUM
0 - 4
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |