Vänersborgs IF vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
10º
8º
27
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 45% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
VAN
9%
14%
78%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
3 - 2
LID
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
IKT
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
BKF
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
FBK
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 2
FBK
70%
17%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |