Vandalia vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vandalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 1
VAN
50%
27%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
VAN
0 - 1
GRA
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 1
VAN
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VAN
1 - 0
AND
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAN
36%
28%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 0
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
G74
0 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARE
43%
28%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 0
ANT
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAN
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |