Valpaços GD vs Cerva GD analysis

Valpaços GD Cerva GD
20 ELO 21
1.2% Tilt -0.3%
24879º General ELO ranking 24876º
608º Country ELO ranking 605º
ELO win probability
38.8%
Valpaços GD
23%
Draw
38.2%
Cerva GD

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
Valpaços GD
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.2%
Win probability
Cerva GD
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valpaços GD
-10%
-9%
Cerva GD

ELO progression

Valpaços GD
Cerva GD
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valpaços GD
Valpaços GD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2015
RIB
Ribeira Pena
2 - 1
Valpaços GD
VAL
45%
23%
33%
20 19 1 0
18 Jan. 2015
VAL
Valpaços GD
3 - 0
Atei
ATE
84%
11%
5%
20 10 10 0
28 Dec. 2014
VAL
Valpaços GD
1 - 2
Montalegre
MON
19%
21%
60%
20 35 15 0
21 Dec. 2014
REG
Regua
3 - 1
Valpaços GD
VAL
49%
22%
28%
21 21 0 -1
14 Dec. 2014
VAL
Valpaços GD
1 - 1
Abambres
ABA
61%
20%
19%
21 18 3 0

Matches

Cerva GD
Cerva GD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2015
NOU
Noura
0 - 1
Cerva GD
CER
11%
17%
72%
22 10 12 0
18 Jan. 2015
CER
Cerva GD
1 - 2
Ribeira Pena
RIB
65%
19%
17%
22 19 3 0
28 Dec. 2014
CER
Cerva GD
4 - 0
Atei
ATE
85%
10%
5%
22 10 12 0
21 Dec. 2014
MON
Montalegre
6 - 1
Cerva GD
CER
75%
15%
10%
23 34 11 -1
14 Dec. 2014
CER
Cerva GD
3 - 1
Regua
REG
51%
22%
27%
22 22 0 +1