Valour vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
8º
7º
8
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 47 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 46 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 45 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 43 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 39 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 34 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 31 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
8º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Play-offs
|
2% | 7.5% |
|
Next round
|
17.5% | 30.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
79% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAV
4 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 2
VAN
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 1
YOR
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ATO
5 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 0
TSR
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
PAC
0 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAV
4 - 0
PAC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PAC
2 - 1
YOR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
PAC
1 - 1
VAN
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ATO
3 - 1
PAC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |