Valmiera FC vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FKD
1 - 0
VAL
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
7 - 3
CAD
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
10 - 0
FCJ
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LME
0 - 1
VAL
79%
13%
7%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 0
SMI
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FKD
0 - 0
SMI
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |