Valmiera FC vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
5 - 3
REZ
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
VAL
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 2
SMI
77%
14%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
VAL
5 - 0
STA
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
RTU
2 - 5
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
PRA
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
RTU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FKT
0 - 3
PRA
54%
21%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 5
PRA
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 0
AUD
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |