Valmiera FC vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
36
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
6 - 1
FKT
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 0
FSM
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 6
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
GRO
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |