Valmiera FC vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
7 - 0
TPE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TPE
0 - 3
VAL
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 2
LIE
16%
20%
63%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 3
PAF
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |