Valmiera FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
39
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 4
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
AUD
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
RIG
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIE
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |