Valmiera FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
39
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GDA
5 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
LIE
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |