Valmiera FC vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 4
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
AUD
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
RIG
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
FKJ
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
FKJ
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 3
FKJ
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |