Valmiera FC vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
87
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GDA
5 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
VAL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
ROS
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 3
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |