Valmiera FC vs Riga FC analysis


78	ELO	78
-0.3%	Tilt	19%
822º	General ELO ranking	877º
1º	Country ELO ranking	2º
ELO win probability

43%

Valmiera FC

25.6%

Draw

31.4%

Riga FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

43%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%

25.6%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

12.2%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.6%

31.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

53

3º

8º

4º

88

1º

3º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	89	89	1º	100%
2º	88	88	2º	100%
3º	58	58	3º	100%
4º	53	53	4º	100%
5º	51	51	5º	100%
6º	40	40	6º	100%
7º	36	36	7º	100%
8º	35	35	8º	100%
9º	33	33	9º	100%
10º	14	14	10º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champions League qualifying phase (1st r	0%	0%
Conference League knock out round	100%	100%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valmiera FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
05 Jun. 2023	2 - 0 VAL 19% 24% 57%	78	63	15	0
31 May. 2023	VAL 1 - 1 FSM 76% 17% 8%	78	58	20	0
27 May. 2023	LIE 1 - 2 VAL 32% 25% 43%	78	76	2	0
22 May. 2023	VAL 1 - 0 BFC 79% 15% 6%	77	56	21	+1
17 May. 2023	FKT 0 - 0 VAL 13% 20% 67%	77	58	19	0

Matches

Riga FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
04 Jun. 2023	FSM 0 - 2 CAR 15% 23% 62%	78	59	19
31 May. 2023	CAR 5 - 1 SUP 80% 15% 5%	78	47	31
26 May. 2023	RIG 0 - 0 CAR 46% 25% 29%	78	78	0
21 May. 2023	CAR 5 - 1 FKT 71% 19% 10%	78	59	19
16 May. 2023	AUD 0 - 2 CAR 30% 26% 45%	78	69	9